Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 5.002017 5.444952 5.926627 6.492444 7.142935 7.872268 8.758846
2025-03-09 4.221809 4.810183 5.496712 6.368870 7.465195 8.823137 10.675069
2025-03-16 3.783465 4.441164 5.245495 6.324553 7.772312 9.708679 12.611924
2025-03-23 3.551670 4.272400 5.189043 6.477903 8.310967 10.945370 15.284674
2025-03-30 3.251605 3.976597 4.923677 6.299861 8.341258 11.437520 16.930724
2025-04-06 3.003866 3.722939 4.682992 6.116636 8.320688 11.825208 18.479576
2025-04-13 2.795915 3.503970 4.466798 5.938491 8.272619 12.144005 19.974565
2025-04-20 2.651975 3.360629 4.342156 5.878464 8.395108 12.761145 22.233040
2025-04-27 2.583586 3.316134 4.352694 6.021297 8.863404 14.077601 26.472654
2025-05-04 2.528615 3.285515 4.378833 6.187854 9.392089 15.621586 31.994526
2025-05-11 2.435003 3.192208 4.302631 6.177953 9.599879 16.561757 36.445018
2025-05-18 2.363883 3.127215 4.264095 6.225300 9.918094 17.810858 42.602336
2025-05-25 2.234499 2.975368 4.091190 6.046126 9.813838 18.174560 46.513437
2025-06-01 2.129192 2.855803 3.963930 5.939712 9.850754 18.920825 52.698708
2025-06-08 2.047327 2.767072 3.879367 5.900127 10.018224 20.051076 61.836531
2025-06-15 2.007344 2.740123 3.892342 6.038304 10.586861 22.459712 81.077216
2025-06-22 1.915033 2.626205 3.753526 5.877895 10.466466 22.859588 89.872441
2025-06-29 1.828850 2.518025 3.618152 5.712575 10.312270 23.121764 98.607414
2025-07-06 1.749611 2.417492 3.490313 5.551603 10.147288 23.312441 107.646231
2025-07-13 1.694123 2.352611 3.419778 5.497310 10.231194 24.369271 127.621592
2025-07-20 1.672615 2.341360 3.440621 5.626456 10.788286 27.332606 182.218932
2025-07-27 1.655236 2.335767 3.470607 5.776863 11.431267 31.013310 283.899252
2025-08-03 1.614717 2.290062 3.426450 5.767927 11.649280 33.101313 390.618379